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ShakeOut Scenario Update

Mw 7.6 Earthquake Scenario - San Andreas Fault Rupture

10:30:15AM 11/13/08

Report by the California Integrated Seismic Network (Caltech/USGS) Kate Hutton, Seismological Laboratory, Caltech

An improved epicentral determination shows that the earthquake started near Bombay Beach, CA, east of the Salton Sea. The moment tensor solution shows right-lateral strike-slip motion, consistent with a rupture on the southern portion of the San Andreas Fault. Aftershocks are being recorded as far north as the San Bernardino and Palmdale areas, indicating that the rupture is at least 200 km (~125 miles) long.

The image below shows the preliminary ShakeMap, indicating strong shaking throughout many areas of Southern California. Areas in orange and red may have experienced significant damage.

The following are a series of images from the ShakeMovie, showing wave propagation through Southern California

The following is a report from the Caltech/USGS Southern California Seismic Network:

  SHAKEOUT SCENARIO:

** SCSN Moment Tensor Solution Message **

REAL-TIME SOLUTION: NOT REVIEWED
Inversion Method: Complete Waveform
Number of Stations used: 5
Stations: CI.BC3 CI.BLY CI.BAR CI.WSS CI.EDW2

Real-Time Solution:
-------------------
Event ID    : 999
Magnitude   : 6.7
Depth (km)  : 8.5
Origin Time :  11/13/2008 18:00:00:00
Latitude    : 33.42
Longitude   : -115.84
Further Information at: http://www.usgs.gov/homepage/science_features/shakeout.asp

    Lower Hemisphere Equiangle Projection

=============  Station Information ==============

Name       Distance     Azimuth     VR      ZCore
-------------------------------------------------
CI.BC3       78.481     32.638   54.886     17.00
CI.BLY      149.957     58.925   53.834     26.00
CI.BAR       82.836    239.638   4.368     17.00
CI.WSS      282.531    296.620   40.300     46.00
CI.EDW2     279.052    316.938   58.072     44.00

 

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