11/11/2019, M4.0 near El Centro

Event

  • 11 Nov 2019 18:13:52 PST, (32.792, -115.548), depth 18.9km.
  • 1km ENE of El Centro, California

Aftershocks

  • As of 11 Nov 2019, 06:50PM PST, there have been 7 aftershocks recorded.
  • The largest was M3.6 (smallest M1.3).
  • More aftershocks may be expected in the next few days, the largest expected is approximately 1 magnitude unit smaller than the mainshock.
  • There is a small chance (about 5%) that a larger quake could occur, with the likelihood decreasing over time.

Possible Foreshocks

  • There were 2 events during the 3 days prior to the earthquake (within a 10 km radius).
  • The largest was M2.8 (2019/11/12).

Historical Seismicity

  • Since our records began in 1932 we’ve had 59 events of M4 or greater within 10km of today’s event.
  • The largest historic event was M6.9 on 19 May 1940.
  • The most recent historic event was M4.0 on 22 May 2012.

Faults

  • CFM fault associations: most likely Not associated with a CFM modeled fault (43%). Alternates: Weinert El Centro fault (25%), Other CFM faults (32%).*
  • Nearby faults: Imperial fault (6.2 km), San Jacinto fault zone, Superstition Hills section (Wienert fault) (7.2 km), Brawley seismic zone (Brawley fault zone) (7.7 km), Brawley seismic zone (7.9 km) and Brawley seismic zone (Rico fault) (13.9 km).**

Additional Information




*Earthquakes can occur both near or on major known faults, and in places where no clear fault zones are known. Using the statistical method of Evans et al. (in prep. 2019) the location and focal mechanism of this earthquake suggest the above association with modeled faults in the Community Fault Model (CFM) provided by the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) and Harvard University. Note that the CFM fault association may be different from the nearby faults list. Differences may arise due to different fault databases, and because the CFM fault association uses the hypocenter with relation to subsurface 3-dimensional fault orientation models, while the nearby faults list utilizes mapped surface traces as they relate to the epicenter.

CFM Fault: SCEC CFM 5.0 Fault name and closest segment if available; The CFM is maintained by Harvard University, Dept of Earth & Planetary Sciences.

Probability: The probability in percent the earthquake is associated with this fault.

SCSN: Caltech/USGS Southern California Seismic Network

**U.S. Geological Survey and California Geological Survey, 2006, Quaternary fault and fold database for the United States, accessed 2015, from USGS web site: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazards/qfaults/

This information is subject to change as more up-to-date data become available.

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