12/31/2022, M3.5 near Lucerne Valley

Event

  • 31 Dec 2022 03:41:09 PST, (34.357, -116.922), depth 5.0km.
  • 11km SSE of Lucerne Valley, California

Aftershocks

  • As of 31 Dec 2022, 04:29AM PST, there have been 8 aftershocks recorded.
  • The largest was M2.2 (smallest M0.7).
  • More aftershocks may be expected in the next few days, the largest expected is approximately 1 magnitude unit smaller than the mainshock.
  • There is a small chance (about 5%) that a larger quake could occur, with the likelihood decreasing over time.

Possible Foreshocks

  • There were 1 events during the 3 days prior to the earthquake (within a 10 km radius).
  • The largest was M1.3 (2022/12/29).

Historical Seismicity

  • Since our records began in 1932 we’ve had 67 events of M4 or greater within 10km of today’s event.
  • The largest historic event was M6.3 on 1992/06/28.
  • The most recent historic event was M4.6 on 05 Jul 2014.

Faults

  • CFM fault associations: most likely Helendale; South Lockhart fault segment (50%). Alternates: Not associated with a CFM modeled fault (12%), Other CFM faults (38%).*
  • Nearby faults: North Frontal thrust system, western section (White Mountains thrust) (0.4 km), Helendale-South Lockhart fault zone, Helendale section (Helendale fault) (3.3 km), North Frontal thrust system, eastern section (6.6 km), Helendale-South Lockhart fault zone, northern San Bernardino Mountains section (7.5 km), North Frontal thrust system, western section (Sky High Ranch fault) (8.5 km) and Arrastre Canyon Narrows fault (14.0 km).**

Additional Information


Below are the waveform data associated with this event, as recorded in our Live Seismograms Feed.


*Earthquakes can occur both near or on major known faults, and in places where no clear fault zones are known. Using the statistical method of Evans et al. (in prep. 2019) the location and focal mechanism of this earthquake suggest the above association with modeled faults in the Community Fault Model (CFM) provided by the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) and Harvard University. Note that the CFM fault association may be different from the nearby faults list. Differences may arise due to different fault databases, and because the CFM fault association uses the hypocenter with relation to subsurface 3-dimensional fault orientation models, while the nearby faults list utilizes mapped surface traces as they relate to the epicenter.

CFM Fault: SCEC CFM 5.0 Fault name and closest segment if available; The CFM is maintained by Harvard University, Dept of Earth & Planetary Sciences.

Probability: The probability in percent the earthquake is associated with this fault.

SCSN: Caltech/USGS Southern California Seismic Network

**U.S. Geological Survey and California Geological Survey, 2006, Quaternary fault and fold database for the United States, accessed 2015, from USGS web site: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazards/qfaults/

This information is subject to change as more up-to-date data become available.

Event

  • 31 Dec 2022 03:41:09 PST, (34.357, -116.922), depth 5.0km.
  • 11km SSE of Lucerne Valley, California

Aftershocks

  • As of 31 Dec 2022, 04:29AM PST, there have been 8 aftershocks recorded.
  • The largest was M2.2 (smallest M0.7).
  • More aftershocks may be expected in the next few days, the largest expected is approximately 1 magnitude unit smaller than the mainshock.
  • There is a small chance (about 5%) that a larger quake could occur, with the likelihood decreasing over time.

Possible Foreshocks

  • There were 1 events during the 3 days prior to the earthquake (within a 10 km radius).
  • The largest was M1.3 (2022/12/29).

Historical Seismicity

  • Since our records began in 1932 we’ve had 67 events of M4 or greater within 10km of today’s event.
  • The largest historic event was M6.3 on 1992/06/28.
  • The most recent historic event was M4.6 on 05 Jul 2014.

Faults

  • CFM fault associations: most likely Helendale; South Lockhart fault segment (50%). Alternates: Not associated with a CFM modeled fault (12%), Other CFM faults (38%).*
  • Nearby faults: North Frontal thrust system, western section (White Mountains thrust) (0.4 km), Helendale-South Lockhart fault zone, Helendale section (Helendale fault) (3.3 km), North Frontal thrust system, eastern section (6.6 km), Helendale-South Lockhart fault zone, northern San Bernardino Mountains section (7.5 km), North Frontal thrust system, western section (Sky High Ranch fault) (8.5 km) and Arrastre Canyon Narrows fault (14.0 km).**

Additional Information




*Earthquakes can occur both near or on major known faults, and in places where no clear fault zones are known. Using the statistical method of Evans et al. (in prep. 2019) the location and focal mechanism of this earthquake suggest the above association with modeled faults in the Community Fault Model (CFM) provided by the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) and Harvard University. Note that the CFM fault association may be different from the nearby faults list. Differences may arise due to different fault databases, and because the CFM fault association uses the hypocenter with relation to subsurface 3-dimensional fault orientation models, while the nearby faults list utilizes mapped surface traces as they relate to the epicenter.

CFM Fault: SCEC CFM 5.0 Fault name and closest segment if available; The CFM is maintained by Harvard University, Dept of Earth & Planetary Sciences.

Probability: The probability in percent the earthquake is associated with this fault.

SCSN: Caltech/USGS Southern California Seismic Network

**U.S. Geological Survey and California Geological Survey, 2006, Quaternary fault and fold database for the United States, accessed 2015, from USGS web site: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/hazards/qfaults/

This information is subject to change as more up-to-date data become available.

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